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jku
10-03-2003, 12:10 AM
White House facing revolt within GOP
The Boston Globe - By Robert Kuttner, 10/1/2003

IN JUST A FEW weeks the political tide has turned dramatically against President Bush. His popularity ratings
have dipped below 50 percent. His policies are under fire on the Iraq war, the economy, and the budget mess.
Moreover, Bush is facing an escalating revolt from within his own party. A little-noted indicator is that
Republican senators and House members are no longer willing to take unpopular votes merely because the
White House demands them. Lately the administration has lost several key votes that were billed as
Republican tests of loyalty:

*Moderate GOP legislators defected on administration plans to privatize air traffic controllers and make special
security training for flight attendants optional. This week, embarrassed Republican floor leaders in the House
will send the bill back to committee rather than lose a floor vote.

*Republican House leaders had to pull one administration bill allowing "comp time" as an alternative to
overtime pay. A majority of senators blocked a second scheme to disqualify more workers from receiving
overtime pay.

*At least 90 Republican congressmen of all stripes are resisting White House efforts, on behalf of the
pharmaceutical industry, to block cheaper prescription drug imports from Canada. In order to win narrow
House passage of the administration's Medicare amendments, the GOP leadership agreed to a separate vote on
drug importation, which carried by a wide margin. Now the administration is trying to reverse this loss via
the back door by disparaging the safety of drug imports.

*Conservative House Republicans joined with liberal Democrats in narrowing assaults on civil liberty and due
process in the so-called Patriot Act, which was rushed through Congress after the attacks of 9/11. In the
appropriations bill for the Justice Department, the Republican House added language opposed by the
administration limiting searches of libraries and warrantless snooping of people's homes.

*A mass bipartisan revolt in both the House and Senate will overturn the administration's proposed FCC
regulations that would have made it easier for media conglomerates to merge. The House and Senate have
passed slightly different versions of resolutions of disapproval.

Not long ago the administration could have reversed these losses with threats of vetoes. No more. Republicans
in Congress are as upset as Democrats about revelations of the use of intelligence on Iraq for political purposes.
They are joining Democrats in giving serious scrutiny to the $87 billion the administration wants to bail out
Bush's Iraq policy. There is bipartisan embarrassment at the Iraq contractor profiteering. Bush is even having
a harder time enforcing party loyalty on behalf of far-right appointees to the federal bench.

Why this shift? Suddenly Bush's own reelection is seen as at risk, and Republican legislators are more worried
about saving their own seats. They have walked the plank for Bush one time too many.

Until recently Republican control of Congress in the 2004 election was seen as a sure thing. Now, however, it
looks as though both chambers are up for grabs, especially if Bush's own reelection is in jeopardy. Congressmen
and senators are keen detectors of shifts in voter sentiment since their own survival depends on it. Bush's
reversal of fortune is occurring on multiple fronts.

First, public opinion is turning dramatically against Bush's war. When legislators return to their districts,
they hear from constituents unhappy about the deaths, the unanticipated financial cost, and the extended
disruption of the lives of reservists.

Second, there is distress about the economy. The jobs hemorrhage is continuing, and more people are losing
health coverage. For all the talk about new prescription drug benefits for seniors, that legislation is blocked and
is minimal in any case. It is stalled, in part because some Republicans and most Democrats are unwilling to
privatize Medicare as the price of a new drug benefit.

Third, many Republican legislators are appalled at the cost of the three immense tax cuts that the White
House demanded. The nation is on the edge of a real fiscal crisis. It's one thing to bestow tax breaks on business
allies; another to create so much red ink that interest rates head skyward and the dollar tanks.

Finally, the press has stopped giving Bush a free ride, and 9/11 no longer serves as a mantra to turn aside all challenges.

When Bush's popularity ratings were in the stratosphere, Republican legislators contentedly basked in his
warmth. The White House political operation could threaten to discipline Republican legislators who defected,
refusing favors and even threatening challenges in primaries. Those days are simply gone. Nothing succeeds
like success. And nothing fails like failure.

dakotagopher
10-03-2003, 06:56 PM
Bush is indeed losing support of his base due to a number of factors; I think the big ones are:

A) Poor economy (to be fair, not his fault, but prez approval is always tied to this)
B) His economics are not too conservative in the traditional sense
C) Environmental policies don’t fit the times. You can at least TALK about conserving energy…..
D) War goes “poorly” according to the media and our short term mindset (though big picture-wise the opposite is true)
E) The blatant favoritism/lack of competition in handing out the Iraq rebuild contracts
F) People feel Bush lied about the WMD issue…….my opinion is that he did not lie, but that is another thread.
G) This outing of the CIA operative. This looks like it will develop into a big problem for W (and rightly so if he’s connected to it). If it is found Bush's core team actually planned & executed this as a political move, Bush is done for in my opinion. Odds are it was a lone mid-level staffer and core team didn’t know it was happening. Again, I just can’t see Bush himself ordering this.

JKU - you may find this interesting, but I don’t consider myself a Republican………while I did vote for W in 2000, and still feel it was the best choice all things considered, I think I’m representative of the true Independent moderate majority in this country. Of the people who’ll vote, I think 25% will vote party line no matter what – Yellow Dogs all the way. The remaining 50% will vote with their heads based on issues and not political rhetoric.

I don’t care to associate myself by name with either major political party, to be frank. I lean right judicially, financially & foreign policy but left on civil rights, union membership, etc.

There was a great little article in the NY Times this past week about how presidential political discourse has shifted from talking about policy toward talking about how the current president is A Threat to the Very Future of America. I no more believe Bush will cause horrible problems or the downfall of America than I believed Clinton would. The same things that are being said about Bush now were being said about Clinton in the 1990s, almost word for word. Those who were saying them have just shifted positions.

It is too early to say whether Bush will lose the election……..I think he will end up winning yet. The economy is starting to turn and that’s the big issue........

The other item that will help Bush will be if WMD are found. The longer that search takes, the more inclined I am to believe WMD will yet be found. An irrational/conspiratorial opinion perhaps, but I can’t help but think they might time the “find” to coincide with the election season. How convenient………